Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 51.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Scheifele
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
Scheifele
Zacha
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Scheifele
Zacha
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
7
Scheifele
Zacha
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
8
Scheifele
Zacha
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
48.9% (5,156)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
55.7% (813)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
42.2% (557)
-0.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Scheifele shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zacha
Home
48.9% (7,678)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Scheifele
Zacha
P1
48.2%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
49.2%
P3
46.8%
48.2%
OT
42.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |