Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
46.0% (250)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
70.6% (17)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
31.8% (22)
+18.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.6% (605)
50.3% (175)
Away
47.4% (555)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
48.5%
P2
45.3%
45.9%
P3
43.9%
46.5%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |