Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 61-57 in 118 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
61
(118 meetings)
57
61
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
24
17
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
23
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
22
21
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
44.8% (8,775)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
50.6% (844)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
37.8% (880)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Scheifele shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.9% (7,678)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Scheifele
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.2%
45.1%
P2
45.6%
43.9%
P3
46.8%
45.2%
OT
42.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
45.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |