Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Carrick 54.2% (-8.0%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 82.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 84.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Scheifele
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
55.5% (470)
-9.0%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
66.7% (3)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carrick
Home
46.6% (605)
58.6% (261)
Away
47.4% (555)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Scheifele
Carrick
P1
52.3%
55.9%
P2
45.3%
53.5%
P3
43.9%
55.6%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%