Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 60.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Scheifele
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Scheifele
Monahan
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Scheifele
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
53.0% (874)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
54.7% (161)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Monahan
Home
46.6% (605)
53.8% (558)
Away
47.4% (555)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Scheifele
Monahan
P1
52.3%
49.5%
P2
45.3%
54.8%
P3
43.9%
52.8%
OT
27.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |