Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 71-65 in 136 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 60.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 61.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Scheifele
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
71
(136 meetings)
65
71
Scheifele
Monahan
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
27
13
Scheifele
Monahan
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
16
27
Scheifele
Monahan
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
22
31
Scheifele
Monahan
53 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
51.1% (11,407)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
45.9% (772)
-4.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Scheifele shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Monahan
Home
48.9% (7,678)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Scheifele
Monahan
P1
48.2%
51.0%
P2
45.6%
51.7%
P3
46.8%
51.0%
OT
42.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |