Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Aho 53.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 71.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 72.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Scheifele
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Scheifele
Aho
Last 6: Scheifele 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
51.2% (785)
-3.1%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
63.8% (213)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
57.9% (57)
-13.5%
On power play, Aho has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Aho
Home
52.7% (630)
54.9% (548)
Away
43.5% (623)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Scheifele
Aho
P1
50.3%
52.8%
P2
46.8%
58.9%
P3
47.5%
50.6%
OT
36.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
48.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |