Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Aho 50.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 65.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 65.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Scheifele
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Scheifele
Aho
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
5
Scheifele
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Scheifele
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Scheifele
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
50.5% (878)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
53.5% (144)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.3% (61)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Aho
Home
46.6% (605)
53.8% (571)
Away
47.4% (555)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Scheifele
Aho
P1
52.3%
49.0%
P2
45.3%
51.7%
P3
43.9%
50.3%
OT
27.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |