Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.8%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 57.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Scheifele
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Scheifele
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Scheifele
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
55.9% (499)
-7.8%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
56.3% (126)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
58.3% (12)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stamkos
Home
52.7% (630)
55.3% (349)
Away
43.5% (623)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Scheifele
Stamkos
P1
50.3%
57.0%
P2
46.8%
59.2%
P3
47.5%
51.5%
OT
36.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
48.1%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |