Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 59.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Scheifele
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Scheifele
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Scheifele
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
57.1% (368)
-10.6%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
55.2% (96)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stamkos
Home
46.6% (605)
53.9% (230)
Away
47.4% (555)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Scheifele
Stamkos
P1
52.3%
56.7%
P2
45.3%
54.1%
P3
43.9%
59.2%
OT
27.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |