Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 91.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.5%
Neutral zone
Necas 60.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Necas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Necas
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Necas
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
49.2% (901)
-4.7%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
68.2% (22)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
49.8% (219)
-2.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Necas shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Necas
Kuraly
Home
44.8% (203)
51.7% (603)
Away
45.3% (214)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Necas
Kuraly
P1
46.8%
50.9%
P2
40.0%
49.5%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |