Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 96.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 62.0%
Neutral zone
Necas 72.5%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Necas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Necas
Kuraly
Last 9: Necas 3-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
2
0
Necas
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Necas
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
51.6% (5,161)
-10.9%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
56.4% (101)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
44.4% (1,091)
+9.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Necas
Kuraly
Home
39.2% (492)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
43.0% (477)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Necas
Kuraly
P1
39.9%
51.2%
P2
40.6%
50.0%
P3
43.3%
50.2%
OT
41.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |