Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Marner 42.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 61.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 69.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
McTavish
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McTavish
Marner
Last 7: McTavish 4-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Marner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
2
McTavish
Marner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Marner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
41.7% (496)
+6.5%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
55.6% (18)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
35.4% (65)
-1.1%
On even strength, McTavish has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
McTavish
Marner
Home
49.8% (1,680)
38.0% (321)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
45.7% (258)
By Period
McTavish
Marner
P1
50.0%
38.7%
P2
47.7%
41.5%
P3
48.4%
45.5%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |