Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Kadri 46.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 77.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 72.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
McTavish
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
McTavish
Kadri
Last 10: McTavish 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
2
McTavish
Kadri
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
45.7% (1,295)
+5.4%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
52.7% (146)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
34.8% (23)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kadri
Home
52.3% (461)
46.5% (725)
Away
49.2% (500)
46.0% (739)
By Period
McTavish
Kadri
P1
51.5%
47.2%
P2
54.0%
44.9%
P3
47.1%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |