Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.6%). Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Kadri 48.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
McTavish
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
16
(37 meetings)
21
16
McTavish
Kadri
Last 10: McTavish 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
6
4
McTavish
Kadri
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
McTavish
Kadri
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
8
5
McTavish
Kadri
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
48.1% (12,555)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
53.0% (1,892)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
41.0% (293)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
McTavish shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kadri
Home
49.8% (1,680)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
McTavish
Kadri
P1
50.0%
49.1%
P2
47.7%
48.7%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
43.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |