Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 54.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 53.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
McTavish
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McTavish
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
McTavish
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
51.3% (945)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
50.7% (282)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.3% (67)
-7.0%
On power play, McTavish has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
McTavish
Suzuki
Home
52.2% (391)
51.0% (637)
Away
45.2% (336)
50.2% (657)
By Period
McTavish
Suzuki
P1
50.2%
53.1%
P2
47.7%
47.4%
P3
49.2%
51.3%
OT
40.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |