Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 63.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 63.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
McTavish
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
McTavish
Suzuki
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
McTavish
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
7
McTavish
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
2
McTavish
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
49.4% (6,368)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
50.8% (1,355)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
44.0% (466)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
McTavish
Suzuki
Home
49.8% (1,680)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
McTavish
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
48.9%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
OT
43.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |