Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Acciari 50.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 88.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
McTavish
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
McTavish
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
McTavish
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
McTavish
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
52.7% (313)
-5.1%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
33.3% (18)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.7% (195)
-16.4%
On power play, McTavish has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
McTavish
Acciari
Home
52.2% (391)
52.6% (291)
Away
45.2% (336)
48.9% (235)
By Period
McTavish
Acciari
P1
50.2%
53.7%
P2
47.7%
51.1%
P3
49.2%
48.5%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |