Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Acciari 51.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 84.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McTavish
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
McTavish
Acciari
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
1
McTavish
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
8
McTavish
Acciari
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
4
McTavish
Acciari
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
52.8% (3,304)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
48.3% (87)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
47.0% (1,073)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
McTavish
Acciari
Home
49.8% (1,680)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
McTavish
Acciari
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
47.7%
51.5%
P3
48.4%
50.2%
OT
43.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |