Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 81.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
McTavish
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McTavish
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McTavish
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
52.6% (464)
-5.0%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
100.0% (1)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.5% (155)
-13.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
52.2% (391)
55.9% (322)
Away
45.2% (336)
46.0% (298)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
50.2%
55.9%
P2
47.7%
46.7%
P3
49.2%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |