Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
McTavish
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McTavish
Kuraly
Last 10: McTavish 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
McTavish
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
56.4% (101)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
44.4% (1,091)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
McTavish shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
McTavish
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (1,680)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
McTavish
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
50.2%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |