Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 66.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
McTavish
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
51.4% (74)
-3.8%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
50.0% (2)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.3% (26)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
McTavish shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lorentz
Home
52.2% (391)
52.9% (68)
Away
45.2% (336)
41.2% (34)
By Period
McTavish
Lorentz
P1
50.2%
58.6%
P2
47.7%
45.0%
P3
49.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%