Mason McTavish vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.4%). Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.9%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 57.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
McTavish
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McTavish
Lorentz
Last 6: McTavish 4-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
McTavish
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
48.9% (1,125)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
50.0% (26)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
41.8% (91)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
McTavish shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lorentz
Home
49.8% (1,680)
50.6% (609)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
46.3% (633)
By Period
McTavish
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
53.0%
P2
47.7%
46.7%
P3
48.4%
46.2%
OT
43.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |