Mathew Barzal vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 72.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Barzal
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
44.7% (1,053)
-9.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
36.8% (95)
+18.8%
On power play, Barzal has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Barzal
MacKinnon
Home
37.0% (138)
49.4% (553)
Away
34.4% (154)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Barzal
MacKinnon
P1
29.5%
45.3%
P2
44.5%
42.7%
P3
31.8%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
39.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
35.6%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
44.4%