Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Dowd 48.3% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 89.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Barzal
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
49.2% (778)
-6.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Barzal shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dowd
Home
35.8% (53)
46.3% (492)
Away
49.2% (61)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Barzal
Dowd
P1
44.2%
49.1%
P2
38.5%
48.2%
P3
46.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
38.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
43.0%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%