Mathew Barzal vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +25.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-25.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 85.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 61.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 81.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Barzal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Barzal
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Barzal
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Barzal
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
62.5% (1,109)
-27.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
62.2% (352)
-6.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bergeron
Home
37.0% (138)
61.9% (917)
Away
34.4% (154)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Barzal
Bergeron
P1
29.5%
60.8%
P2
44.5%
60.3%
P3
31.8%
63.0%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
39.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
35.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |