Mathew Barzal vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 24-9 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 97.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 97.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 97.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 97.4%
97.4%
2.6%
Barzal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
24
(33 meetings)
9
24
Barzal
Bergeron
Last 10: Barzal 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
8
Barzal
Bergeron
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
8
Barzal
Bergeron
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
8
Barzal
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,558)
60.1% (13,938)
-18.2%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
60.8% (3,213)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
53.0% (2,776)
-10.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,094).
Barzal shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bergeron
Home
43.1% (1,893)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
40.9% (1,896)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Barzal
Bergeron
P1
40.6%
59.3%
P2
44.4%
60.0%
P3
41.0%
58.6%
OT
27.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |