Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Zacha 49.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Barzal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Barzal
Zacha
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
6
4
Barzal
Zacha
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
9
Barzal
Zacha
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Barzal
Zacha
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,558)
48.8% (4,953)
-6.9%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
55.8% (788)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
42.0% (547)
+0.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,695).
Barzal shoots right. Zacha is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,472).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zacha
Home
43.1% (1,893)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
40.9% (1,896)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Barzal
Zacha
P1
40.6%
49.9%
P2
44.4%
49.1%
P3
41.0%
47.9%
OT
27.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |