Mathew Barzal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 58.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
51.0% (408)
-8.0%
On even strength, Nugent-Hopkins has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
35.8% (53)
50.8% (258)
Away
49.2% (61)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Barzal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.2%
51.6%
P2
38.5%
45.2%
P3
46.9%
47.6%
Final 5 min
38.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |