Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +25.0% FO% edge overall. Joseph wins 37.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 43.4% vs Gregor 51.6% (-25.0%)
Offensive zone
Joseph 53.3%
Defensive zone
Joseph 51.1%
Neutral zone
Gregor 51.7%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Joseph
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
29.3% (58)
63.6% (22)
-34.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Joseph has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Joseph is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Joseph shoots left. Gregor is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Joseph
Gregor
Home
37.9% (29)
58.3% (12)
Away
29.7% (37)
58.3% (12)
By Period
Joseph
Gregor
P1
9.1%
77.8%
P2
37.9%
44.4%
P3
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
33.3%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
58.3%