Mathieu Joseph vs Noah Gregor

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Noah Gregor holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Joseph 46.6% vs Gregor 46.4% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone Gregor 52.5%
Defensive zone Gregor 56.1%
Neutral zone Gregor 53.3%
Result Noah Gregor favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Joseph Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Joseph
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
31.3% (16)
36.8% (38)
-5.5%
On even strength, Gregor has a +5.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Joseph is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Joseph shoots left. Gregor is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Joseph
Gregor
Home
25.0% (8)
40.7% (27)
Away
30.0% (10)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Joseph
Gregor
P1
40.0%
42.9%
P2
30.0%
21.4%
P3
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
44.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
44.0%
41.5%
27.8%
Gregor
40.0%
36.0%
37.5%