Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 43.0% vs Donato 47.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 66.0%
Defensive zone
Donato 70.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Coronato
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coronato
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coronato
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (122)
46.8% (297)
-9.1%
Power Play
43.8% (32)
41.0% (39)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coronato is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Coronato shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Coronato
Donato
Home
38.9% (72)
45.8% (142)
Away
38.1% (84)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Coronato
Donato
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
34.7%
45.7%
P3
30.2%
43.4%
Final 5 min
36.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
38.5%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |