Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.2% vs Donato 44.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 60.7%
Defensive zone
Donato 66.2%
Neutral zone
Coronato 53.4%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Coronato
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coronato
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coronato
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (262)
44.0% (1,218)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.1% (70)
46.0% (248)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.7% (12)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coronato is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Coronato shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Coronato
Donato
Home
39.8% (176)
47.2% (743)
Away
39.9% (158)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Coronato
Donato
P1
41.9%
43.8%
P2
37.6%
44.9%
P3
38.5%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |