Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.7% vs Donato 45.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 59.0%
Defensive zone
Donato 61.0%
Neutral zone
Coronato 51.6%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Coronato
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coronato
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coronato
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (237)
44.4% (1,096)
-6.4%
Power Play
49.2% (59)
46.3% (240)
+2.9%
On even strength, Donato has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coronato is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Coronato shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Coronato
Donato
Home
39.4% (160)
47.7% (708)
Away
41.2% (136)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Coronato
Donato
P1
41.5%
43.5%
P2
36.7%
45.4%
P3
40.4%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
40.2%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |