Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Kadri 49.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 58.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Duchene
Kadri
Last 6: Duchene 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Duchene
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
47.7% (975)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
54.0% (226)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.6% (9)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
56.6% (318)
48.3% (621)
Away
56.4% (319)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
57.2%
48.1%
P2
55.1%
48.9%
P3
55.6%
49.8%
OT
81.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |