Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Bonino 51.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 65.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Duchene
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Duchene
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Duchene
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
51.7% (777)
-4.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.0% (50)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.9% (98)
+56.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bonino
Home
58.4% (125)
48.2% (461)
Away
48.4% (95)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Duchene
Bonino
P1
56.9%
54.1%
P2
52.5%
49.7%
P3
51.9%
50.7%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |