Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +54.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Cates 46.7% (+54.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 66.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Duchene
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
0.0% (6)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Duchene
Cates
Home
58.4% (125)
0.0% (5)
Away
48.4% (95)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Duchene
Cates
P1
56.9%
0.0%
P2
52.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
0.0%