Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Byfield 45.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 54.3%
Defensive zone
Byfield 83.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 63.7%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Duchene
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Duchene
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
2
Duchene
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
46.8% (801)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
50.8% (59)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
35.9% (153)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Duchene
Byfield
Home
51.7% (201)
46.3% (462)
Away
52.5% (236)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Duchene
Byfield
P1
49.0%
44.6%
P2
57.1%
43.4%
P3
49.2%
48.7%
OT
60.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |