Matt Duchene vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Byfield 45.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Duchene
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Duchene
Byfield
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Duchene
Byfield
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Byfield
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
45.4% (2,149)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
47.8% (113)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
37.8% (230)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Home / Away
Duchene
Byfield
Home
55.6% (6,430)
45.3% (1,183)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
44.4% (1,309)
By Period
Duchene
Byfield
P1
54.4%
45.2%
P2
54.5%
43.7%
P3
53.4%
45.9%
OT
56.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |