Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 68.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Duchene
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
51.5% (641)
-4.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
62.8% (129)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
33.3% (9)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Duchene
Monahan
Home
58.4% (125)
53.9% (362)
Away
48.4% (95)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Duchene
Monahan
P1
56.9%
48.0%
P2
52.5%
57.0%
P3
51.9%
54.1%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
53.1%