Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Monahan 52.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 61.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Duchene
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
53.0% (874)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
54.7% (161)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.5% (101)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Duchene
Monahan
Home
51.7% (201)
53.8% (558)
Away
52.5% (236)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Duchene
Monahan
P1
49.0%
49.5%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
49.2%
52.8%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |