Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Blueger 48.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 62.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Duchene
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Duchene
Blueger
Last 7: Duchene 4-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
3
Duchene
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
49.4% (265)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
66.7% (9)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
34.0% (50)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Duchene shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Duchene
Blueger
Home
51.7% (201)
49.8% (215)
Away
52.5% (236)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Duchene
Blueger
P1
49.0%
46.4%
P2
57.1%
50.4%
P3
49.2%
44.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |