Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Blueger 50.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Duchene
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Duchene
Blueger
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
3
Duchene
Blueger
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
4
11
Duchene
Blueger
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
4
Duchene
Blueger
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
52.2% (3,582)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
50.6% (77)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.7% (1,103)
+6.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Duchene
Blueger
Home
55.6% (6,430)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Duchene
Blueger
P1
54.4%
49.2%
P2
54.5%
52.2%
P3
53.4%
48.6%
OT
56.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |