Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 48.3% vs Hertl 57.5% (-19.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 78.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Poitras
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (17)
58.7% (858)
-23.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.8% (285)
+44.2%
On power play, Poitras has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Poitras is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Poitras shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Poitras
Hertl
Home
28.6% (7)
60.1% (599)
Away
45.5% (11)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Poitras
Hertl
P1
50.0%
52.4%
P2
33.3%
63.9%
P3
25.0%
58.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
38.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%