Matty Beniers vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs McCarron 52.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 86.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Beniers
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beniers
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Beniers
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
52.8% (697)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
18.2% (11)
+40.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
52.6% (211)
-2.6%
On power play, Beniers has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Beniers
McCarron
Home
52.4% (460)
52.8% (477)
Away
45.1% (470)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Beniers
McCarron
P1
47.5%
56.2%
P2
50.6%
52.4%
P3
47.6%
48.7%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |