Matty Beniers vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Beniers wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs McCarron 52.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 93.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 63.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 79.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Beniers
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Beniers
McCarron
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
7
Beniers
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Beniers
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
53.3% (2,926)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
45.3% (86)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
50.1% (469)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Beniers shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Beniers
McCarron
Home
48.9% (2,195)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Beniers
McCarron
P1
47.2%
53.8%
P2
47.0%
52.3%
P3
45.7%
51.9%
OT
34.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |