Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Frost 56.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 84.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 51.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 75.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Beniers
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
56.0% (755)
-7.7%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
60.1% (173)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
88.9% (9)
-38.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
52.4% (460)
57.3% (497)
Away
45.1% (470)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
47.5%
60.2%
P2
50.6%
56.0%
P3
47.6%
54.8%
OT
62.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |