Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Frost 50.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 80.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 71.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Beniers
Frost
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
8
Beniers
Frost
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Beniers
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Beniers
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
49.7% (3,652)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
55.4% (632)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
55.0% (40)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
48.9% (2,195)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
47.2%
51.2%
P2
47.0%
51.3%
P3
45.7%
48.8%
OT
34.8%
64.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |