Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 59.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Beniers
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Beniers
Schmaltz
Last 8: Beniers 3-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Beniers
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Beniers
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
45.9% (697)
+2.4%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
47.9% (117)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
48.0% (25)
+2.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Beniers
Schmaltz
Home
52.4% (460)
44.9% (434)
Away
45.1% (470)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Beniers
Schmaltz
P1
47.5%
41.5%
P2
50.6%
46.7%
P3
47.6%
51.1%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |