Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 64.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 65.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Beniers
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Beniers
Schmaltz
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Beniers
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Beniers
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
6
Beniers
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
41.3% (3,431)
+5.2%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
47.3% (655)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
47.4% (135)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Beniers shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Beniers
Schmaltz
Home
48.9% (2,195)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Beniers
Schmaltz
P1
47.2%
41.3%
P2
47.0%
42.8%
P3
45.7%
43.1%
OT
34.8%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 04:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |