Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Beniers wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Roy 48.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 78.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.7%
Neutral zone
Beniers 60.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Beniers
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Beniers
Roy
Last 10: Beniers 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Beniers
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
7
Beniers
Roy
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
6
Beniers
Roy
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
48.7% (3,719)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
49.5% (283)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
45.5% (477)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Beniers shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Beniers
Roy
Home
48.9% (2,195)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Beniers
Roy
P1
47.2%
50.8%
P2
47.0%
46.3%
P3
45.7%
48.1%
OT
34.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |